PSICOLOGÍA
Evaluación Fase 3 TEORÍA DE LAS DECISIONES: Examen Universitario 2019
Comenzó
en Domingo 29 de Septiembre de 2019
Completado
en Domingo 29 de Septiembre de 2019
Tiempo
tomado 45 minutos 28 segundos
Marcas
10.00 / 10.00
Calificar;
nota 50.00 de 50.00 ( 100 %)
Realimentación
Excelente actuación. Has entendido completamente el tema.
Pregunta 1
Estas
preguntas también consisten en dos proposiciones: una declaración y una razón, naciones
por la palabra por qué. Debe examinar la veracidad de cada proposición y la relación
teórica que las une.
Declaración:
Las
decisiones piloto o tácticas, las decisiones son tomadas por la gerencia
intermedia en intentan
asignar eficientemente los recursos disponibles para cumplir con los objetivos establecidos
a nivel estratégico porque estas decisiones pueden no ser repetitivas y el grado
de repetición es insuficiente para confiar en los precedentes, también ya que
sus consecuencias
tienden a ocurrir en un largo período de tiempo y generalmente son irreversibles
y los errores implican sanciones muy fuertes a menos que se acumulen.
Seleccione
uno:
a.
La afirmación y la razón son verdaderas y la razón es una explicación correcta
de la
declaración.
si.
La afirmación es verdadera, pero la razón es una proposición falsa.
C.
La afirmación y la razón y la razón son verdaderas, pero la razón no es una explicación
correcta de la declaración. Respuesta Correcta
d.
La afirmación es falsa, pero la razón es una proposición verdadera.
Pregunta
2
Este
tipo de pregunta consta de una declaración y cuatro opciones. Solo una de estasopciones
para responder correctamente la pregunta. El alumno debe seleccionar la respuesta
y marcarla de acuerdo con la opinión correcta.
Declaración:
Una
empresa dedicada a la fabricación de ciertas piezas para ensamblar vehículos de fábrica
debe decidir si una nueva pieza en su planta principal, o si, por el contrario,
compra a
un vendedor coreano. Las utilidades dependen de la demanda del producto. La
tabla muestra
las ganancias proyectadas, en millones de pesos.
Tabla
1. Proceso de decisión para la comercialización del producto.
Al
mismo tiempo, el árbol de decisión resultante es:
De
acuerdo con la información anterior, el valor esperado sin información perfecta
(EV sin IP)
del problema es:
Seleccione
uno:
a.
35,5 millones.
si.
35,3 millones.
C.
36,8 millones.
re.
36,5 millones.
Pregunta
3
Este
tipo de pregunta consta de una declaración y cuatro opciones. Solo una de estas opciones
para responder correctamente la pregunta. El alumno debe seleccionar la respuesta
y marcarla de acuerdo con la opinión correcta.
Declaración:
The decisions that
are repetitive and routine, when you have defined a procedure or has established
criteria (or rule of decision) that makes it easier to cope with, allowing the
not be treated again each
time you must make a decision and that it is repetitive because the problem occurs with
some frequency in a way that is a common procedure to resolve this issue, are called:
Select one:
a.
Non-programmed decisions of typology without methods.
b.
Programmed decisions of typology by methods.
c.
Making unscheduled typology by methods.
d.
Decisions scheduled typology without methods.
Pregunta 4
This
question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason,
nations by the word
why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship
that unites them.
Statement:
The
risk environment is one in which the decision-maker does not know that states
of nature
can be presented and the likelihood to each of them. Under these conditions a decision
criterion that applies is the so-called "expected monetary value
criterion" because this
approach consists in estimating the monetary value of each alternative decision
and choose
one that has a monetary value.
Select
one:
a.
The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of
the statement.
b.
The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct
explanation of the
statement.
c.
The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.
d.
The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
Question
5
This
question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason,
nations by the word
why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship
that unites them.
Statement:
The
decision is the choice between several possible alternatives, taking into
account the limitation
of resources and with the aim of achieving a desired result because the term decide
is how to identify and solve the problems that are presented to the entire organization.
Select
one:
a.
The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
b.
The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of
the statement.
c.
The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct
explanation of the
statement. Respuesta Correcta
d.
The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.
Pregunta 6
This
question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason,
nations by the word
why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship
that unites them.
Statement:
When
the decision-maker has some knowledge about the states of nature you can assign
to the
occurrence of each state some objective estimation of probability because the
decision - maker
can assign subjective probabilities to the occurrence of the states of nature
to evaluate
different alternatives before taking any decision.
Select
one:
a.
The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of
the statement.
b.
The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
c.
The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct
explanation of the
statement.
d.
The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.
Pregunta 7
These
questions consist of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason,
nations by the
word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical relationship
that unites them.
Statement:
The
deterministic models of decision, are known with certainty all the data of the
reality that represent
because if one or more data are referred to only in terms of probability, the
model is
called, probabilistic, random or stochastic.
Select
one:
a.
The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of
the statement.
b.
The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.
c.
The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a
correct explanation
of the statement. Respuesta Correcta
d.
The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.
Pregunta 8
This
type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
options to correctly
answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to
the think is correct.
Statement:
A
company dedicated to the manufacture of certain parts to assemble factory
vehicles must decide
whether a new piece in its main plant, or if on the contrary you purchase from
a vendor
Korean. The utilities depend on the demand for the product. The table shows the projected
profits, in millionss of pesos.
Table
1. Decision process for the marketing of the product
At
the same time, the resulting decision tree is:
According
to the above information, the Expected Value with Perfect Information
(EVwithPI) of
the problem is:
Select
one:
a. 39.5 millions. Respuesta Correcta
a. 39.5 millions. Respuesta Correcta
b.
35.3 millions.
c.
38.5 millions.
d.
36.8 millions.
Pregunta 9
This
type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
options to correctly
answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to
the think is correct.
Statement:
The
decision models can be classified according to several criteria, including:
objective, subjective,
analytical, simulation, static, dynamic, deterministic and probabilistic. The models
that are presumed to be known with certainty all the data of the reality they represent
and the models that incorporate the time as a variable or as a fundamental parameter
in your order are called:
Select
one:
a.
Analytical models and dynamic models.
b.
Stochastic and deterministic models. A
c.
Deterministic models and dynamic models.
d.
Models of certainty and static models.
Pregunta 10
This
type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these
options to correctly
answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according to
the think is correct.
Declaración:
Realizar
un análisis de la decisión primero debe definirse:
Seleccione
uno:
a.
El problema y la estructura de decisión.
b.
Solo la estructura de decisión.
c.
Las cantidades deterministas o probabilísticas.
d.
Las cantidades deterministas solamente.
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